Political Arithmetic

Consider the election for some office the United States. The voters are organized into precincts. For the 2020 presidential election, there...

Previously, we discussed Kalman filtering the polls . We will examine how well such a filter performed in the 2020 US Senate races...

I am going to try to describe how Niklas Luhmann worked his Zettelkasten, then examine motivations. Luhmann's zettelkasten is basicall...

We've noted before the geometric mean is best when combining several different forecasts together into one. Today I'd like to disc...

We will discuss Kalman filters applied to opinion polling. They've been applied quite successfully to robotics (and other fields), so p...